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Market Sentiment Shifts on Fed Rate Hike Odds
Markets now assign a 24.9% probability to a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in October following a stronger-than-expected inflation report.
October 15, 2026, 09:34 AM·Crypto Briefing
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China Reports Significant Price Hikes for Electronics in September
China's National Bureau of Statistics reported a sharp year-on-year price increase for electronics in September, with data storage devices rising by 46.7%.
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Kalshi Traders Forecast Persistent Inflation Through 2026
Traders on the Kalshi prediction market project a 3.6% median CPI for December 2026, signaling that inflation will remain well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
Crypto Briefing
Money
Kalshi Traders Position for September Inflation Data
Traders on the prediction market Kalshi are betting on a rise in September CPI, with market odds currently diverging from economist forecasts for the upcoming October 14 data release.
Crypto Briefing
Money
Fed Official Hammack Signals Potential Rate Hikes for 2026
Federal Reserve official Hammack warned that elevated inflation risks could lead to potential interest rate hikes in 2026.
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Crypto
Polymarket Predicts High Probability of September Fed Rate Hike
Polymarket bettors assign an 83% probability to a 25 basis-point Fed rate hike on September 16, with combined betting volume on the outcome exceeding $190 million.
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Crypto
Bitcoin Market Reaction to US Inflation Data
Bitcoin prices rebounded following the release of August inflation data as markets prepare for the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
Decrypt
Crypto
Bitcoin Rebounds Following US Inflation Report
Bitcoin recovered to over $78 700 following a brief dip caused by US inflation data, while market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike rose to 85.6%.
ForkLog
Money
Wireless Service Price Spike Impacts US Inflation Data
A record 5.9% surge in wireless service prices drove the US core CPI higher in August 2026, sparking debate over whether the increase reflects real inflation or a change in BLS methodology.
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Money
Fed Rate Hike Odds Surge to 90% Following August Inflation Data
August core inflation rose by 0.3%, driving the probability of a September rate hike to 90% as supercore services costs accelerated.
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August US Inflation Data Surpasses Core Forecasts
US inflation data for August showed a 0.4% monthly increase, with core CPI rising 0.3% and exceeding market expectations ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting.
Crypto Briefing
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US Inflation Data Shows 3.4% Annual Increase in August
US consumer prices rose 3.4% annually in August, driven primarily by a 3.9% monthly increase in gasoline costs.
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US Inflation Data Sets Stage for Fed Rate Decision
US inflation remained at 3.4% in August, prompting markets to anticipate a potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve at its upcoming September meeting.
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Market Expectations Shift Ahead of August Inflation Data
Markets await the August CPI report as the probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike rises to 70%.
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Crypto
August 2026 Inflation Data Preview Ahead of Fed Meeting
US headline inflation is expected to cool to 3.3% in August 2026, ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy meeting.
Crypto Briefing
Crypto
Kalshi Markets Price in Inflation Risks Ahead of Fed Meeting
Prediction markets indicate a 62% chance that August 2026 inflation will surpass 3.3%, impacting expectations for the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting.
Crypto Briefing
Money
August CPI Data to Shape Federal Reserve Policy Outlook
The upcoming August CPI report, due September 11, will be a decisive factor for the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy at the September 15–16 meeting.
Crypto Briefing
Money
August CPI Data Set to Influence Fed Rate Decision
The upcoming August U.S. CPI report, due September 11, is a key factor for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision at the September 15-16 meeting.
Crypto Briefing
Money
August Core CPI Forecasts Point to Cooling Inflation in US
US core CPI for August is projected to cool to 2.3–2.4% year-over-year, potentially influencing the Federal Reserve's upcoming rate decision.
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Money
Fed Rate Hike Probability Rises Amid Inflation Concerns
Northwestern Mutual warns that rising inflation data could prompt the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates in September and October.
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