The probability of a merger between Tesla and SpaceX has reached 67% according to the prediction market platform Kalshi. This figure represents an increase from the 60% probability estimated by the platform earlier in the week.
The shift in market sentiment follows an analysis published by Barclays regarding the potential advantages of combining the two companies led by Elon Musk. Despite the market activity, there is no evidence of official negotiations or formal announcements from either firm.
Market observers are currently monitoring potential indicators of a deal, including official SEC filings or public statements from Elon Musk. Future developments regarding regulatory approvals or board decisions will also influence the market's assessment of a potential merger.
