A research group led by Timur Gasiev introduced a mathematical model for crisis management in high-tech manufacturing in 2026. The model addresses challenges caused by the departure of Western vendors and supply chain disruptions over the last three years.
The core of the system is the integral efficiency index I_ac. This metric quantifies the impact of development timelines, technological risks, quality parameters, and economic results. It allows managers to evaluate progress objectively rather than relying on intuition.
The model formalizes constraints into measurable categories, including the availability of engineering knowledge, time delays, probability of technological failure, and additional costs. These inputs are processed to select appropriate response mechanisms.
The system functions as an automatic control loop that evaluates risks and generates new project plans. It is designed to handle multiple projects simultaneously, providing a quantitative basis for comparing different crisis management scenarios.
