As of early September 2026, the 90-day rolling correlation between Bitcoin and 10-year US Treasury yields stands at -0.17. This figure indicates a near-zero relationship, contrasting with gold, which shows a -0.41 correlation over the same period.
The bond market is currently experiencing significant volatility, with 30-year Treasury yields rising to between 5.25% and 5.33%. Meanwhile, the US gross federal debt reached approximately $40.13 trillion by mid-August 2026.
Throughout 2026, Bitcoin has maintained a trading range between $63,000 and $86,000. Despite earlier trends, such as a positive 0.32 correlation with 10-year yields recorded in March 2026, the asset has since decoupled from rate movements.
Bitcoin is currently showing a stronger relationship with gold, with their 90-day correlation reaching 0.59 in early September 2026. This represents the highest level of correlation between the two assets since 2020.
